Quick note today because not much to say when a good uptrend is working and it’s a good policy in trading to relax into stable trend phases and not try to fine tune the trade too much.
Pick the target, adjust your stop as price unfolds. Bitcoin has bottomed and is moving nicely in its channel. This is dollar related as much as anything. Looking up to 24,000 for now.. Will update if material change or threat.
Crypto markets are set to be shaped less by single data prints and more by deeper forces – central bank credibility, AI-driven risk cycles, tariff-led inflation pressures, and dollar liquidity – creating a year defined by volatility, not clean trends.
Short-term charts point to weakness and fading momentum, even as long-term forecasts split sharply between institutional-driven upside and warnings of a deep mean reversion.
With liquidity fading and demand still weak, Bitcoin’s repeated failure at $90,000 has traders bracing for continued range-bound action into the new year.
Bitcoin sits out the Santa Rally as losses mount on-chain, whales shuffle billions, and a heavy supply overhang threatens any push back toward $100,000.
The trade that once let equity investors proxy Bitcoin exposure is breaking down. With treasury firms underperforming their underlying assets, the model is shifting from accumulation to debt management—and many DATCOs may not make it through the next phase.
Institutional inflows are transforming crypto from a retail-led market into a derivatives-driven asset class, with options now central to risk, liquidity, and price formation.
Crypto markets are set to be shaped less by single data prints and more by deeper forces – central bank credibility, AI-driven risk cycles, tariff-led inflation pressures, and dollar liquidity – creating a year defined by volatility, not clean trends.
Short-term charts point to weakness and fading momentum, even as long-term forecasts split sharply between institutional-driven upside and warnings of a deep mean reversion.
