Flows: Ethereum spot ETFs added $360 million on Sept 15 (fifth straight day); Bitcoin spot ETFs added $260 million (sixth straight day). US spot ETF inflows remain well above normal ranges.
Momentum vs. conviction: The RSI surged to 78.1, while CVD weakened, and volumes remained flat, indicating strong momentum but limited conviction.
Derivatives: Futures open interest rose to approximately $47.5 billion; perpetual CVD increased to $48.5 million, indicating aggressive buy-side leverage.
On-chain mix: Active addresses slipped, transfer volume increased, fees dipped, with capital moving, but user activity is muted.
Event risk: The Federal Reserve decision tomorrow is the single biggest directional catalyst; reduced hedging (skew down) raises the risk of a volatility surprise.
He would become at least the tenth of 18 co-defendants to admit guilt in a case prosecutors have built as their first Bitcoin-focused RICO prosecution.
The Singapore-to-New York transfer settled in minutes rather than the usual two business days, adding a concrete use case to banks' broader push toward always-on tokenized settlement rails.
The federation's peg-out authorization key needed just 11 of 15 signatures to move nearly 4,000 BTC out of the sidechain, exposing a validation bug that Blockstream says had gone unpatched in its Elements codebase for more than two years.
Bitcoin looks calm on the surface, but ETF inflows, thin liquidity, leverage and geopolitical risk are building a market primed for a sharp move in either direction.
