ETF flows flip: Spot BTC ETFs saw $227 million in outflows yesterday, led by broad selling across eight funds, with IBIT being the only fund to see an inflow. ETH ETFs posted $167 million in net outflows, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.
Macro catalyst: Nonfarm Payrolls expected at 75k jobs with unemployment ticking up to 4.3%. Fed cut odds at the September meeting remain high, but stronger-than-expected data could pressure crypto.
BTC structure: Price keeps consolidating in the $104K - $116K air gap, with resistance at $114K - $116K, and support at $104K - $108K. Markets remain neutral but fragile, with breakouts likely to dictate the next trend.
ETH positioning: Exchange balances at 3-year low and validator demand strong with close to 1 million ETH waiting to be staked, but price remains capped at $4.4K. NFP print likely sets the direction.
Policy & regulation: SEC unveils new crypto rulebook proposals, while UK Treasury tightens AML rules. Global regulatory tone tilts toward clarity, with added compliance burdens.
Bhutan has hired 3iQ to earn yield on part of its Bitcoin and given Gelephu a central bank that can hold crypto, while disclosing less and less about the coins themselves.
A royal decree turns the Gelephu Financial Services Office into the Gelephu Central Bank, with monetary policy, reserve and payments powers and a path to a city currency. The timetable and its relationship with Bhutan's national central bank are unclear
Withdrawals reopened Sunday with a $3.6 billion net outflow and a proof-of-reserves snapshot is out, but Binance has not published its technical post-mortem or said how attackers got in beyond a compromised laptop
The bank says Hong Kong is the first market in its group to get the product for corporate clients, which settles between banks in central bank money around the clock. Blockhead reported a Singapore launch with Ant International in December
