ETF flows flip: Spot BTC ETFs saw $227 million in outflows yesterday, led by broad selling across eight funds, with IBIT being the only fund to see an inflow. ETH ETFs posted $167 million in net outflows, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.
Macro catalyst: Nonfarm Payrolls expected at 75k jobs with unemployment ticking up to 4.3%. Fed cut odds at the September meeting remain high, but stronger-than-expected data could pressure crypto.
BTC structure: Price keeps consolidating in the $104K - $116K air gap, with resistance at $114K - $116K, and support at $104K - $108K. Markets remain neutral but fragile, with breakouts likely to dictate the next trend.
ETH positioning: Exchange balances at 3-year low and validator demand strong with close to 1 million ETH waiting to be staked, but price remains capped at $4.4K. NFP print likely sets the direction.
Policy & regulation: SEC unveils new crypto rulebook proposals, while UK Treasury tightens AML rules. Global regulatory tone tilts toward clarity, with added compliance burdens.
Three data points from the same week – SpaceX's IPO filing, Harvard's ETH exit, and the unravelling of Bankless – sketch out an institutional verdict the market is already pricing in.
MoonPay Trade, built on the Decent.xyz acquisition, offers a single API for 200+ blockchains and puts former acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham at the helm of the institutional business.
The company, last valued at $7 billion in a 2023 funding round, has processed more than $1.1 trillion in crypto transactions and claims to have been profitable on an adjusted basis for three consecutive years.
The approval, granted to Kraken parent Payward, will let UAE clients trade via a locally regulated entity with dirham funding – once the preliminary licence converts to a full one.
