Macro: Fed futures price a -21.8 bps cut for September, with next week’s jobs report pivotal along with September 11’s CPI data. The EU has announced a willingness to remove tariffs on US industrial goods while tariff negotiations are ongoing with India.
Institutional demand: ETF flows continue to strengthen with $81 million for Bitcoin ETFs and $307 million for Ether ETFs over the past day. ETFs, corporates, and governments are now absorbing ~3,600 BTC/day, which translates to ~4x miner issuance. Metaplanet announced a new plan to raise $881 million to buy $837 million BTC in Sep–Oct, adding to its 18,991 BTC.
On-Chain Supply Stress: BTC trades at ~$112K, just below 1 month ($115.6K) and 3 month ($113.6K) cost bases, leaving short-term holders under stress. Key support lies at 6-month cost basis ($107K).
Flows: Spot demand remains neutral, as perpetuals tilt bearish with CVD negative. The current funding rate of ~0.01% points to a fragile neutrality. If price breaks above $112.4K with volume, it opens the pathway to $114K – $116K, while a rejection risks another downside to $110K – $108.7K.
Hash Rate ATH: BTC network security at record levels, which underscores miner conviction despite stressed short-term investor cohorts, with a steadily growing hashrate seen as a bullish indicator.
The regulator that must approve Bitget's purchase of the Z.com EX operator accuses its operating company of running an unlicensed exchange business and soliciting Thai users from 2022 to 2025. A Bitget spokesperson says it is reviewing the announcement
Finance Minister Lee Hyoung-il tied the new date to crypto tax data sharing with the US and the pending Digital Asset Basic Act. The delay still needs the National Assembly
SFC executive director Elisa Ng said 17 tokenised retail products now hold US$1.3 billion, that a tokenised gold ETF may be the next pilot, and that an "innovation pathway" will offer flexibility for controlled pilots
One of the first banks to use DTCC's tokenization service says it has converted real securities. Its plan to trade tokenized equities on its own platform has moved to the first quarter of 2027
