Key Takeaways
- Approximately 34K BTC and 220K ETH options expired today with max‑pain at $118K for BTC and $4.25K for ETH. BTC short‑tenor IVs remain above 35% while ETH short‑tenor IVs are above 80% with markets re‑pricing near‑term volatility.
- BTC ETFs logged a 5th straight outflow day (‑$194 million) while ETH ETFs saw +$288 million (led by BlackRock’s ETHA). This rotation favors ETH despite broader de‑risking.
- Largest BTC liquidation cluster lies between $114.7K - $115K with near-term support at $111.2K and deeper support at $109.4K - $107.6K.
