Directly relevant to crypto is the dollar index (DXY) – if it falls crypto should rally. Right now we are testing the peak of the 20 week cycle which is due to roll over with the next trough expected mid-November.
The second 80 day cycle in the set is due to trough at the same time. Price just flew out of the top of the
June channel on excessive momentum. To me, this looks like an exhaustion break and the preferred view is a failed attack higher then DXY falls over shortly.
Bitcoin is pinned in a narrow $63k–$66k band, where macro pressure and ETF flows cancel each other out—leaving price directionless, volatility compressed, and institutions signalling hesitation rather than conviction.
Bitcoin is up roughly 6% from this week's low and ether is outpacing it over seven days, as traders weigh a possible Senate breakthrough on crypto market structure legislation against growing expectations of a Fed rate cut.
Three straight quarters of losses, collapsing volumes, and ETF outflows have stripped crypto down to one question: can rates and flows stabilize the market in Q3?
Brent’s war premium is back above $90, but Bitcoin isn’t flinching – tracking macro liquidity and rate expectations instead of missiles, exposing a growing gap between oil’s geopolitical sensitivity and crypto’s monetary tether.
Bitcoin is pinned in a narrow $63k–$66k band, where macro pressure and ETF flows cancel each other out—leaving price directionless, volatility compressed, and institutions signalling hesitation rather than conviction.
A deal would deepen a hybrid strategy already underway at Robinhood, which now routes some contracts to its own Rothera exchange while still sourcing others from Kalshi, even as Kalshi's CEO calls Robinhood a leading rival.
The shutdown lands three days after BitMEX announced its own closure, prompting Binance's CZ to warn that buying smaller exchanges carries hidden risk from legacy security flaws left by prior teams.
Circle tells a Wisconsin court it can’t seize USDC, while regulators argue it’s choosing not to, setting up a rare, real-time clash between technical design, contractual wiggle room, and outright defiance of a seizure order.
