BTC rebounded to $92,600 (+2.7%) after heavy selling, but remains below key structural thresholds.
ETF flows split: Bitcoin saw inflows of $75 million, but Ether saw outflows of $37 million to extend the outflow streak to seven days. Solana continued to stand out with inflows of $55 million.
Fed minutes emphasize “confirmation before cuts”, as Nvidia’s strong results inject short-term risk appetite.
Onchain shows deep stress: BTC sits below 0.75 cost-basis quantile; reclaiming it is essential to avoid a deeper bear trend.
Retail continues to panic sell while whales accumulate, a classical reversal signal, but not confirmed yet.
Bitcoin is now positive for 2025, but rising Japanese bond yields and potential capital repatriation threaten to drain liquidity from global markets, posing new risks for cryptocurrencies and stablecoins.