Bitcoin opened the week weaker, sliding to $108,000 after weekend range-trading and ETF outflows; short-term support sits around the $107k cost-basis band.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net weekly outflows near $799 million last week; Ethereum ETFs were roughly flat for the week. Solana’s debut ETFs drew $199 million and remain a tactical destination for flows.
Large-holder balance remains concentrated: wallets holding 10–10k BTC control 13.68 million BTC (≈68.62% supply); these cohorts added ~110,010 BTC in October and sold ~23,200 BTC since.
Onchain and derivatives signals are mixed: realized profitability compressed, funding muted, and options skew modestly put-biased; participation has cooled and leverage is lower.
Action bias: maintain defensive sizing, prefer staggered entries into dips; watch whether spot ETF flows reaccelerate and whether BTC can reclaim and hold above $110k on sustained volume.
The HKMA handed its first approvals to the banks that already print the Hong Kong dollar. That tells you everything about what these tokens are meant to be.
Geopolitical pressure from the Strait of Hormuz standoff continues to weigh on BTC, which has failed to sustain gains above $72,500 even as whale selling dries up and leveraged shorts accumulate.
BTC retreated from a weekend high near $73,000 after the U.S. announced naval interdiction of vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, compounding an already fragile market structure.
DRW founder Don Wilson's blunt critique of MEV cuts to a deeper flaw: blockchain market design has drifted into engineering complexity that extracts value without improving price discovery or capital allocation.
