Momentum continues to fade as BTC remains rangebound between $109,500 and $107,200, settling near $108,750.
Spot flows cooled: Yesterday, Bitcoin ETFs saw $101 million outflow; Ethereum ETFs saw $19 million in outflows, with institutional demand wavering over the past few days.
Long-term holder selling remains elevated (30-day SMA > 22,000 BTC/day) with persistent distribution now acting as a structural headwind.
Options Open Interest (OI) rose to an all-time high while put demand also rose. This signals short-term options that could amplify intraday moves.
Critical bands: short-term holders’ cost basis $113.1k, 0.85 quantile $108.6k, 0.75 quantile ~$97.5k. Losing the 0.85 band risks deeper drawdowns.
Bitcoin’s bounce above $64K triggered massive short liquidations and revived ETF inflows, but lingering outflows and weak technicals leave the recovery on uncertain footing.
Luxembourg's regulator grants final CASP authorization, enabling Ripple to provide regulated services across 30 European Economic Area countries following months of regulatory navigation.
MiCA's full enforcement on July 1 reshuffled stablecoin routing. Robinhood's Arbitrum bet is the clearest signal yet that enterprise procurement—not retail volume—is now what determines which L2s capture institutional flows.
