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Crypto Braces for Powell’s Call: Bulls Eye Breakout, Shorts Wait for Slip

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Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin hovers just below $116,300 ahead of today’s FOMC decision, with $117,000 forming a critical liquidity cluster.
  • Spot ETF flows remain supportive, with Bitcoin ETFs logging $292 million in inflows on September 16, marking seven straight days of net buying.
  • Ethereum ETFs broke their streak with $61.74 million in outflows, highlighting a divergence in institutional appetite.
  • On-chain data indicates that short-term holders are regaining profitability, but a failure to maintain the $111.8k–$114.2k cost basis post-FOMC could spark a “sell the news” correction.
  • Escalating US-Venezuela tensions and Powell’s remarks risk amplifying volatility across the cryptocurrency and risk asset markets.

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