ETF flows flip: Spot BTC ETFs saw $227 million in outflows yesterday, led by broad selling across eight funds, with IBIT being the only fund to see an inflow. ETH ETFs posted $167 million in net outflows, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.
Macro catalyst: Nonfarm Payrolls expected at 75k jobs with unemployment ticking up to 4.3%. Fed cut odds at the September meeting remain high, but stronger-than-expected data could pressure crypto.
BTC structure: Price keeps consolidating in the $104K - $116K air gap, with resistance at $114K - $116K, and support at $104K - $108K. Markets remain neutral but fragile, with breakouts likely to dictate the next trend.
ETH positioning: Exchange balances at 3-year low and validator demand strong with close to 1 million ETH waiting to be staked, but price remains capped at $4.4K. NFP print likely sets the direction.
Policy & regulation: SEC unveils new crypto rulebook proposals, while UK Treasury tightens AML rules. Global regulatory tone tilts toward clarity, with added compliance burdens.
Japan’s $97 billion yen intervention has slowed the currency’s slide, but done little to change its trajectory. If the BOJ is forced to hike rates, the resulting carry-trade unwind could hit Bitcoin and global liquidity hard.
A deal would route a subset of Hyperliquid's perpetual futures through Payward's CFTC-regulated Bitnomial exchange, giving the decentralized platform a compliant path into the US market it has never been able to serve directly.
LSEG plans to bring the 100 largest London-listed companies onchain as Payward's xStocks and is separately assessing a UK tokenised equity structure of its own, with trading targeted for 2027 pending regulatory approval.
MAS opened a consultation on the legislative amendments needed to bring its 2023 stablecoin framework into force, formalizing a protected "MAS-regulated stablecoin" label as regulated tokens are already being piloted in payment and settlement projects across the city-state.
