Crypto enters CPI day at significant price zones for BTC and ETH, with ETH’s breakout above $4K fueling a broad risk-on tone.
Institutional positioning remains net long, although ETF MVRV’s rise to 2.43 points to elevated unrealized profits and potential profit-taking risk. ETF flow resilience and on-chain accumulation signal structural demand remains intact, even if short-term volatility spikes post-data.
On-chain and derivatives data confirm seller exhaustion and measured re-leveraging, but CPI is now the critical short-term trigger.
SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw’s departure leaves the agency without a Democratic voice, strengthening Republican control and clearing the path for a more crypto-friendly regulatory agenda in 2026.
Geopolitical risks from Venezuela to Greenland are fading into the background as investors refocus on US data and Fed rate cuts, but turbulence in crypto markets shows risk appetite remains fragile.
