ETF inflows are tentatively returning, offering a structural pillar as short-term volatility moderates.
Behavioral metrics show cautious risk-on behavior. Approximately $120,000 worth of Bitcoin was purchased during the recovery from $112,000 to $114,000, demonstrating opportunistic purchasing. However, there is still little supply in the $110k–$116k region, so more robust accumulation is required to create long-term support.
Macro-policy risks remain key drivers, particularly CPI and Fed credibility, maintaining flexibility over directional conviction.
SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw’s departure leaves the agency without a Democratic voice, strengthening Republican control and clearing the path for a more crypto-friendly regulatory agenda in 2026.
Geopolitical risks from Venezuela to Greenland are fading into the background as investors refocus on US data and Fed rate cuts, but turbulence in crypto markets shows risk appetite remains fragile.
