ETF inflows are tentatively returning, offering a structural pillar as short-term volatility moderates.
Behavioral metrics show cautious risk-on behavior. Approximately $120,000 worth of Bitcoin was purchased during the recovery from $112,000 to $114,000, demonstrating opportunistic purchasing. However, there is still little supply in the $110k–$116k region, so more robust accumulation is required to create long-term support.
Macro-policy risks remain key drivers, particularly CPI and Fed credibility, maintaining flexibility over directional conviction.
Beijing expands its crypto crackdown, while Hong Kong defies the mainland by preparing to issue stablecoin licenses in March, raising questions about regulatory autonomy and US dollar dominance in digital finance.
A $1.2 trillion AI unwind rattled Wall Street, dragging tech and crypto-linked equities lower as investors brace for a pivotal CPI print that could reset rate-cut hopes and pressure risk assets from Nasdaq names to Bitcoin.
